Gold drops as dollar rebounds

by Jonathan Adams
Gold

Spot gold was 0.7% lower at $2,432.29 per ounce, having hit its highest since July 18 earlier in the session

Gold prices slid as the dollar rebounded on Thursday, after bullion reached two-week highs earlier in the session on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s indications that a September interest rate cut might be considered.

Spot gold was 0.7% lower at $2,432.29 per ounce, as of 0956 GMT, having hit its highest since July 18 earlier in the session. Prices were just $51 short of the record high of $2,483.60 hit on July 17.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday rates could be cut as soon as September, putting the central bank near the end of a more than two-year battle against inflation.

Powell putting a possible rate cut in September on the table is supportive for gold. But on the other hand, you now have a slightly stronger U.S. dollar and weaker euro, and that is a negative effect, said Quantitative Commodity Research analyst Peter Fertig.

Market focus now shifts to Friday’s U.S. payrolls report.

If July job growth exceeds expectations, doubts may arise about a September Fed rate cut, Fertig said.

A reminder to not be short gold near range lows, and cognizant that geopolitics is increasingly more supportive in the medium-long-term, Nicky Shiels, head of metals strategy at MKS PAMP SA, stated in a note.

Bullion, traditionally known for its stability as a favoured hedge against geopolitical and economic risks, thrives in a low-interest rate environment.

Central bank gold demand should stay high in 2024/2025 despite the recent absence of ‘reported’ PBOC (People’s Bank of China) gold purchases in May and June, Citi analysts stated in a note.

But that appears unlikely to reverse a wider EM CB (emerging central bank) trend of increasing gold holdings due to de-dollarization, reserve diversification, and alt-fiat demand, they said.

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of Trading and Investment News. The information provided on Trading and Investment News is intended for informational purposes only. Trading and Investment News is not liable for any financial losses incurred. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions.

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