Home Forex Dollar rises as risk appetite improves

Dollar rises as risk appetite improves

by Jonathan Adams
Dollar rises

The dollar rose on Friday as risk appetite improved amid a more upbeat outlook on the euro

The dollar rose on Friday, hitting 10-week-highs against the yen, as risk appetite improved amid a more upbeat outlook on the euro and the prospect of a trade deal between China and the United States.

Risk-on sentiment amid a global stock rally worked in favor of the euro and commodity rivals like the Canadian dollar, Aussie and kiwi dollars, while rising Treasury yields have pulled the greenback out of its biggest hole in weeks, said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Western Union Business Solutions in Washington.

Friday’s weaker-than expected U.S. economic data weighed on the dollar initially, especially the manufacturing index, but the greenback rallied to trade higher on the day.

The dollar was earlier supported by data on Thursday showing U.S. gross domestic product had grown at an annual 2.6 percent rate in the fourth quarter, exceeding forecasts for a 2.3 percent gain.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields have risen about 7 basis points this week. The yield surged to 2.731 percent on Thursday, its highest since Feb. 6.

The dollar was up 0.5 percent at 111.93 yen after hitting a 10-week high.

Sterling was down at 0.3 percent at $1.3219.

The euro, meanwhile, was little changed against the dollar at $1.1377. It traded flat in London after data showed underlying inflation in the euro zone remained subdued. The euro zone single currency rose earlier after news that a U.S. manufacturing index had fallen in February to its lowest since November 2016 suggested economic momentum has slowed this year.

The Institute for Supply Management’s U.S. manufacturing index fell to 54.2 in February from 56.6 the previous month. The prices paid index, a measure of inflation, also fell, to 49.4, the weakest since February 2016.

All of these things are putting a damper on the dollar. The market was looking for a stronger recovery after the shutdown, said Joe Trevisani, senior analyst, at FXstreet.com in New York.

They’re saying that the shutdown is transitory and wouldn’t have that much of an impact. But looking at these numbers, that’s not the story they’re telling. It’s not a big collapse, but it’s not as strong as people thought, he added, referring to the 35-day partial U.S. government shutdown that ended Jan. 25.

Earlier data showing a drop in both U.S. personal income and spending had little impact on the dollar. A key inflation gauge in that report showed the headline rate falling to 1.7 percent from 1.8 percent, with core inflation at 1.9 percent in December, just below the Fed’s 2 percent target.

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