Energy stocks propelled the broader stock market higher Thursday, as hopes that Saudi Arabia and Russia could step back from their price war offset worries about a faltering jobs market
Energy stocks propelled the broader stock market higher Thursday, as hopes that Saudi Arabia and Russia could step back from their price war offset lingering worries about a faltering jobs market.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 469.93 points to close at 21,413.44, a day after the blue-chip index shed nearly 1,000 points at the start of a new quarter. The Standard & Poor’s 500 jumped 2.3% to finish at 2,526.90, led by gains in the energy sector as the price of crude surged. Shares of Exxon Mobil and Chevron gained 7.6% and 11%, respectively.
Crude, which is coming off its worst quarter in history, soared 24% to settle at $25.32 per barrel, its best one-day percentage gain ever. Oil prices jumped after President Donald Trump said he was confident that Saudi Arabia and Russia would resolve their dispute over oil output and prices in the coming days. Trump told CNBC Thursday that he expects both countries to cut production by about 10 million barrels.
Energy is a beaten down sector that’s been rallying on hope, says Tim Bray, senior portfolio manager at GuideStone Capital Management. The recent decline in oil prices came after Saudi Arabia started a price war. But it’s only a matter of time before they come together with Russia and agree to some type of production cut because most OPEC countries aren’t going to be satisfied with oil hovering around $20.
The gains come despite more people applying for unemployment insurance as segments of the economy shut down in the wake of the outbreak.
The number of Americans who filed claims for unemployment benefits surged to a record 6.6 million last week, the Labor Department reported Thursday, as the coronavirus pandemic caused massive layoffs and furloughs across the nation. That was double the prior week’s total of nearly 3.3 million.
Investors will monitor monthly jobs data, due Friday, for further indications on how the pandemic has affected the U.S. economy.
This is eye-watering, and we are still only at the beginning of the layoffs spurred by the lockdowns throughout the country, James McCann, senior global economist at Aberdeen Standard Investments, said in a note. When we look at all the jobs at direct risk from social distancing policies, and those which could be affected indirectly, the numbers start to get pretty scary. Unemployment could well rocket in coming months to more than 10%, comfortably a post-war record.
The S&P 500 index is coming off its worst quarter since the financial crisis in 2008, with a 20% loss. Traders said markets will be turbulent until the number of new coronavirus cases declines. The number of infections is rising despite anti-disease controls that have shut down much of the global economy.
The U.S. death toll stretched beyond 5,600 on Thursday, according to the Johns Hopkins University data dashboard. Worldwide, the virus has killed more than 51,400 and infected more than 1 million.
Bank of America Global Research revised its economic projections for the year. Analysts at the firm forecast three consecutive quarters of contraction: The U.S. economy is likely to shrink 7% in the first quarter, 30% in the second quarter and 1% in the third quarter. The bank projects growth will recover in the final three months of the year.
This degree of weakening in the economy should translate to a significant amount of job cuts which will happen over the next two months, analysts at Bank of America Global Research said in a note. We think that between 16 and 20 million jobs could be lost, sending the unemployment rate to a peak of 15.6%.
Last week, Congress enacted a $2.2 trillion economic aid package, and the Federal Reserve promised to buy as many Treasurys as needed to keep credit markets running smoothly.
Legislators are collecting ideas for a possible new round of aid. President Donald Trump tweeted his support for a $2 trillion infrastructure package. Top Republicans in Congress said they first want to see how well their newly approved programs do.
In Europe, the FTSE 100 in London gained 0.5% and Frankfurt’s DAX added 0.3%. The CAC 40 in France advanced 0.3%. In Asia, the Shanghai Composite Index gained 1.7% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 0.8%. Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 declined 1.4%.