MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan shed 0.7%
Share markets faltered in Asia on Thursday, while U.S. inflation data loomed as a threat for bonds and interest rates.
It also took a little steam out of the tech-driven bull run in stock markets, with Nikkei going flat, while South Korean shares slid 1.2%. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan shed 0.7%.
Reports from Japan suggested the government planned to issue “bridging bonds” to fund flagship programmes aimed at boosting investment in growth and economic security.
Oil prices rose 2% and Treasury yields edged higher as the developments in the Middle East added to the conflicting signals over the talks after the U.S. president dismissed an Iranian report of a deal to restore traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
Over the next 2 weeks, we expect either a deal for a new ceasefire, or the current ceasefire will have collapsed with active hostilities resuming, said Madison Cartwright, a senior geo-economics analyst at CBA.
Cartwright put a 70% probability on a deal being agreed, while cautioning that the fate of the strait was up in the air.
Insurance through the strait has become prohibitively expensive and it’s unclear how and at what price insurance will be made available, he added. It is also not clear if Iran will charge a toll, or a toll by another name.
With transits of the strait still only at a trickle, Brent crude rose 2.1% to $96.31 a barrel.
Yields on 10-year notes edged up 3 basis points to 4.512% as the risk of oil staying high kept upward pressure on inflation expectations.
For Europe, EUROSTOXX 50 futures and FTSE futures both dropped 0.6%, while DAX futures eased 0.3%. S&P 500 futures were little changed while Nasdaq futures eased 0.2%.

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