Home Alternative Investments With 8 per cent rise in 2016, gold halts 3-year losing streak

With 8 per cent rise in 2016, gold halts 3-year losing streak

by Jonathan Adams

Gold prices eased on Friday as gains from a weak dollar was offset by profit-taking at the end of a year in which bullion gained about more than 8 per cent, putting brakes on three years of declines.

In the first half of 2016, investors increased gold exposure as the Federal Reserve showed caution on raising interest rates due to concerns about global growth, while Britain’s vote to leave the European Union curbed appetite for risk and pushed the metal to a two-year high in July.

Spot gold reached its highest since Dec. 14 at $1,163.14 (£942.27) an ounce, before retreating 0.7 per cent to $1,150.5 (£931.96) per ounce. Prices were up about 8.5 per cent annually, its biggest increase since 2011.

U.S. gold futures ended the session 0.6 per cent lower at $1,151.7 (£932.97) per ounce.

Gold prices fell more than 8 per cent in November, on higher U.S. Treasury yields after Donald Trump’s presidential election win led to speculation his commitment to infrastructure spending would spur growth.

Bullion hit a 10-month low on Dec. 15 as solid U.S. economic data gave the Fed the confidence to raise rates for the first time in a year. The central bank signalled three more increases next year from the previous projection of two.

“Because the stock market has been flirting with the 20,000 range, it’s been relatively calm and we haven’t gotten the flight to safety trade that we sometimes get with gold,” said Jeffrey Sica, president and chief investment officer of Sica Wealth Management.

“Still we are building a position in gold primarily because we think the stock market is going to hit some turbulence … and a major calamity coming out of Europe that’s going to cause a lot of money to go into the gold markets.”

The precious metal is often seen as a hedge against geopolitical risks.

The dollar pared some losses against a basket of six currencies as the session progressed, pressuring gold. U.S. Treasury yields will remain a key driver for gold’s movements, analysts said.

Returns from U.S. bonds are closely watched by the gold market, given that the metal pays no interest.

Other precious metals were also set to end the year in positive territory, with palladium the best performer, up more than 21 per cent in 2016. It was up 1.3 per cent on the day at $680.75 (£551.44) an ounce.

Platinum gained 0.1 per cent to $898.55 (£727.87) for the session and rose marginally for the year, its first annual gain in four years.

The spread between platinum and palladium contracted to its narrowest in nearly 15 years earlier this month at $141 (£114.22) an ounce, as palladium, mostly used in autocatalysts, benefited from higher car demand in China and the United States and dwindling supply.

“A sharply widening deficit … is likely to propel palladium higher as scope for mine output remains limited and industrial and auto demand firm,” HSBC said in a note.

Silver was down 1.4 per cent at $15.92 (£12.90), but ended the year about 15 per cent higher, its best year since 2010.

This article is for information purposes only.
Please remember that financial investments may rise or fall and past performance does not guarantee future performance in respect of income or capital growth; you may not get back the amount you invested.
There is no obligation to purchase anything but, if you decide to do so, you are strongly advised to consult a professional adviser before making any investment decisions.

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